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David Hargreaves on Bulk Minerals, week 43 2013

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Bulk minerals being produced in Sweden

Bulk minerals being produced in SwedenSweden makes a move. The north European country, long famous for iron and steel, is making a comeback in that sector. The government has committed the equivalent of $200 million in upgrading the road from Kaunisavaara to the reloading terminal in Pitkajarv plus a similar amount to accommodate the expected increased capacity in iron ore shipments from minors such as Northland and LKAB. Also active developing in the north of the country is Beowulf. LKAB is State-owned. Most of Sweden’s output it expected into the European market, some 22Mt of a total 28Mtpa.

Alderon Iron Ore Corp (ADV.TO C$1.50; Hi-Lo C$2.23-0.88) is at the Environmental assessment stage with its Kami project in Labrador, Canada. It is owned 75% by Alderdon and 25% by Hebei Iron and Steel Group (HBIS) Potash. As the fertilizer mineral continues to flounder, so too does aspiring major producer Sirius (AIM) in north Yorkshire, England. The planning application is hampered by the fact that the deposit sits below a national park.

Despite the fact that Sirius keeps company with the long established Boulby Mine next door and has been assiduous in its approach sensitively it has so far failed to persuade the authorities to give the nod. So it plans a new application, simply addressing the concerns. They speak of July 2014 for a submission date.

WIM says: This project would create many jobs and be a major export earner without scarring the countryside.

An unusually interesting company came to London for a roadshow last week. Highfield Resources (HFR.AX A$0.37; Hi-Lo A$0.61-0.22) is doing potash in Spain. Regular readers know that WIM has strong views on this market. Not for the faint-hearted and proving to be the potential graveyard of the great and good. We speak of Vale SA, BHPB and, possibly, the putative Sirius. The premier fertiliser mineral has an excellent demand profile long term. It is found in select places, usually at great depth and thus cost and has but a handful of producers and consumers. The majors, noted above, recognised this and ploughed in with 5-7 year, multi-billion dollar projects. They have come ungummed.

It becomes clear that the short term winners will be those who can start to produce in short order at a containable cost.

Being in a good jurisdiction also helps. Highfield fits most, if not all, of these requirements. It offers:

  • Location, Spain, in the EU offering clear tax advantages; 100% ownership and no ongoing royalties.
  • A highly developed transport infrastructure, electricity, gas and water.
  • Proximity to markets.
  • A deep history of mining and an established labour force.

It looks for production by 2016 at a highly compatible cost. The JORC resources indicate a minimum 10-year life with prospects of more.

WIM says: This one presents as better than most we have examined. We hope to start detailed coverage.

Iron Ore CFR Tianjin Port 2012

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About David Hargreaves

David Hargreaves

David Hargreaves

David Hargreaves is a mining engineer with over forty years of senior experience in the industry. After qualifying in coal mining he worked in the iron ore mines of Quebec and Northwest Ontario before diversifying into other bulk minerals including bauxite. He was Head of Research for stockbrokers James Capel in London from 1974 to 1977 and voted Mining Analyst of the year on three successive occasions.

Since forming his own metals broking and research company in 1977, he has successfully promoted and been a director of several public companies. He currently writes “The Week in Mining”, an incisive review of world mining events, for stockbrokers WH Ireland. David’s research pays particular attention to steel via the iron ore and coal supply industries. He is a Chartered Mining Engineer, Fellow of the Geological Society and the Institute of Mining, Minerals and Materials, and a Member of the Royal Institution. His textbook, “The World Index of Resources and Population” accurately predicted the exponential rise in demand for steel industry products.

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Stora Enso vill sälja 1,4 miljoner hektar av sina skogstillgångar

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Skogsplantor hos Stora Enso

Stora Enso meddelade igår att de vill sälja omkring 12 procent av sina totala skogstillgångar, vilket motsvarar 1,4 miljoner hektar. En försäljning skulle minska bolagets skuldsättningen och stärka balansräkningen. Christian Kopfer kommenterar den planerade försäljningen, bland annat om vilka köparna skulle kunna vara, och sedan går samtalet vidare om skogsmarknaden i ett något större perspektiv.

Kopfer kommenterar även olja och koppar efter de senaste dagarnas oroligheter.

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Förtroendet är inte på topp för Boliden, men EFN ser ett köpläge

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Boliden har radat upp motgångar och marknaden har tappat mycket av sitt förtroende för bolaget. Den pressade värderingen och utsikterna för konjunkturen gör dock att EFN:s analytiker Ellinor Beckett ger en köprekommendation till aktien på 12 månaders sikt.

”Inom Boliden finns hela värdekedjan, från att hitta metallerna i jorden till att återvinna dem. Däremellan bryts de och produceras. Mest koppar, guld och zink, men även silver, nickel och bly. Ungefär tre fjärdedelar av vinsten kommer från smältverken, resten från gruvorna. Rönnskärsverken utanför Skellefteå är Sveriges enda smältverk för utvinning av basmetaller och är världsledande på återvinning av elektronik.”

Vill man ha exponering mot koppar så finns det andra aktier som ger en renare exponering. Men Boliden har sina gruvor i Norden och Irland vilket minskar den politiska risken.

Boliden-aktien stängde på 344,50 kronor igår.

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Stora rörelser på råvarumarknaden när Kina stimulerar ekonomin

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SSE Consume Commodity Index

Det har hänt mycket på råvarumarknaden den senaste veckan efter att Kina kraftigt ökat stimulanserna för att sätta fart på ekonomin. Det har fått effekt på både aktier och råvarupriser. Det kan även göra guld intressant på sikt då Kina nu väljer att öka mängden pengar. Eric Strand säger att nu har Kina valt väg, man stimulerar ekonomin, nu kan man inte gå tillbaka och sanera.

Samtidigt gör stimulanser med mer grön omställning och elektrifiering även metaller som silver och koppar intressanta.

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